Climate Change and Reality


Hiroshima bombImagine that the much-feared-atomic-bomb World War Three has broken out.  Imagine that bombs like the one that flattened Hiroshima are being exploded at over 4  per  second, constantly, reaching 400 000 per year.  Horrifying? 

What if I tell you that, in effect, it is already happening?

 

Jessica BrislinAt the recent Annual General Meeting of the Durban and Coast Horticultural Society we were privileged to have Jessica Brislin as speaker, and delivering a PowerPoint presentation, on Climate Reality. She has a BSc Hons cum laude from University of KwaZulu Natal and is the environmental scientist at an urban design studio in Durban. After a string of achievements, in 2014 she went to USA for Climate Reality Project training by Al Gore (American vice president 1993-2001) and his team.  This project is to bring home the complete reality of climate change, and at the same time seek mitigation and adaptation solutions.

I would urge everyone to make themselves as aware as possible of the full facts.  A visit here would be a start:   Beware of the ‘I don’t want to know’ mentality.

 Meanwhile, the headlines:  

Is there massive climate change?  Yes. 

Is it manmade?  Yes.

With proven fact after fact, video after video – many quite horrifying – Jessica demonstrated that climate change is not only a reality, but is already a catastrophic one.  This is not just a fad theory, it is as proven as anything we commonly accept can be.  More and more records show natural disasters happening on an unprecedented scale, and accelerating at a rate which is far exceeding already gloomy predictions.  It is not just a natural cycle.  Carbon levels, for example, are now known to be far above anything seen for the past 6 000 years – samples trapped in rock have enabled scientists to go that far back. To put things in perspective regarding the amount of carbon dioxide man is currently pumping into the sky daily, it equates to that which would come from the number of atomic bombs mentioned in the preamble.

Since the talk, I have done some research and found numerous qualified and persuasive voices in the Climate Change Denial camp.  Even with my lack of background in the field, though, I find their arguments unconvincing, while the findings of the 97% who agree climate change is happening seem far more credible.

I have also looked into the phenomenon of denialism – why, when this vast majority of scientists believe that there is climate change, and that man is the primary cause, do nearly 50% of Americans deny it?  The Psychology of Denial is fascinating and complex, and involves political and economic mind-manipulation and comfort zones amongst many other things – but, simply put, boils down to the ‘I don’t want to know’ syndrome I have warned against.

So what do we do?  Shoot ourselves now, to put ourselves out of our misery?  Not necessarily.  The Climate Change Reality group do believe that, while it is too late to reverse completely the effects of our bungling, massive awareness, action and adaptation can bring it under control and susceptible to mitigation.   Going for renewable energy is one of the most important of the required initiatives.

© March 2016 Colonialist (WordPress)
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About colonialist

Active septic geranium who plays with words writing fantasy novels and professionally editing, with notes writing classical music, and with riding a mountain bike, horses and dinghies.
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25 Responses to Climate Change and Reality

  1. libraschild says:

    i;ve seen the argument that says climate change is not due to humanity – while i think there may be some merit in some of their points, i do not think this excuses us in our actions and we should still be trying to tread as lightly as possible on the earth

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  2. I’m with you in thinking climate change is fact. https://www.futurelearn.com/courses/climate-change-challenges-and-solutions is an excellent free online course run by Exeter University which I studied last year. Anyone can join in at any time.

    France is right up there with taking action: – eg In a 5-year project, 1000 kilometres of specially adapted photovoltaic panels are being laid as ROAD in a 5 year panel, each km providing enough power for a small vilage.

    Car sharing is well established here in rural Normandy to reduce the carbon emission from vehicles containig 1 person going to work each day.

    Those denying the problem are adding to it, affecting future generations. They must be persuaded and your post is a good cotribution to that.

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  3. vuurklip says:

    Well, not everybody agrees. Some scientists are to investigate the “Pause” which seems to have lasted about 18 years. The “Pause” being no significant warming for the last 18 years.
    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/03/12/uk-ocean-scientists-were-going-to-investigate-the-pause/

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    • There’s a great deal more to climate change than “warming”. see my reply to Les.

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    • colonialist says:

      As Viv says, warming is not the only determinant.
      The existence of the ‘Pause’ is heavily disputed, anyway. Support lies mainly in air temperature measurement, which it is argued does not provide a true reflection. Measuring ocean warmth, rising levels, and content gives a different picture, One of the latest studies supporting the conclusion that the pause hasn’t happened is here:
      http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-33006179

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      • vuurklip says:

        It is impossible to debate the issue in comments. The mere fact that for every claim of one side, one can find credible support for the other, is reason enough to be very sceptic. There is simply no room fir this level of certainty about AGW. And please call it by its real label: AGW. Calling it “Climate Change” and talking about “dangerous” warming all the time, is simply dishonest.

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        • colonialist says:

          Your issue can easily be debated here.
          It can be argued that your label puts the cart before the horse. Global warming is a part of (perhaps) but not the only component of Climate Change – and Climate Change is definitely present. In other words, weather patterns and conditions etc etc are undergoing significant and accelerating changes. Overwhelming statistics prove that. Thus it is with great deliberation that the proponents of Climate Reality action have called it that. And there is a great deal of room for certainty on it. If you want to see these statistics, visit their site or numerous others featuring top scientists (treat those sponsored by fossil fuel interests with caution) – and try to refute their data or conclusions. Whether or not Global Warming is accepted as fact – and even the pause remains a subject of debate (see among dozens of other links
          https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/11/151124081510.htm ) Climate Change is a reality.
          Global Warming is a symptom; Climate Change is the disease, man-made pollution is the most likely cause. What else could explain this absolute rocketing of CO2 levels, unprecedented in 6000 years, and weather events of unparalleled proportions? Where is the dishonesty? It is dishonest, actually, to grab at comforting stats of doubtful validity to avoid a highly unpleasant reality.

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          • vuurklip says:

            You raise just too many issues to address – I do not have the time or inclination to do so. I simply caution against the almost absolute certainty in the belief that we are heading for catastrophe. Over the past million or so years there have been regular ice ages interspersed with warm periods. We are in a ” warm” period now, a warming which started many thousands of years ago to which we have not contributed except perhaps in the last 60/70 years. We don’t even know how much. In the historical context of millions of years, the present is nothing special.

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            • colonialist says:

              To the best of our knowledge, no other such period was exacerbated by human bungling to the extent of the present one, nor did the changes manifest themselves so suddenly or dramatically. I don’t know where you are obtaining your soothing data, but it does seem badly skewed. However, if you are dedicatedly in denial it is unlikely that overwhelming evidence will convince you otherwise.

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              • vuurklip says:

                I am sceptical, not in denial. You on the other hand seem to have no doubts. So be it. You may want to study the various graphs in this post. Focus on the coloured graph at the top which gives CO2 vs Temperature over millions of years.

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                • colonialist says:

                  Interesting. It proves your point that the various aspects are too complex to be debated in comments, thus. I wish I had the scientific background to evaluate the data more intelligently – but certainly if the estimates are correct extremes are not unprecedented. CO2 and the speed of recent changes – over decades rather than centuries – still seem matters of concern. The pattern in the Northern versus Southern Hemispheres also seems significant – as supporting the worst damage coming from heavily industrialised countries. Still, I now entertain some scepticism which I did not have after the barrage of facts and figures at the lecture.

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                  • vuurklip says:

                    This is what turned me: 1) Books by geologists Ian Plimer and Bob Carter. They show convincingly how the present is not unusual seen in geological time rather than the short thermometer records. 2) Climate Gate! Leaked emails showing how the science is compromised by an agenda, how opposing views are kept out of journals. How editors are bullied. How the scientists (Michael Mann and others at UEA) hide their doubts and portray certainty, etc. 3) Donna Lafamboise’s two books on the IPCC and Rajendra Pachauri (a sex fiend and writer of a porno novel as head of the IPCC with a conflict of interersts). Se shows to what extent the IPCC fails its own standards. E.g. a large percentage of papers are not peer reviewed as the IPCC says. Many scientists are under qualified but the IPCC claims to use work by scientists of world class. 4) The realisation that CO2 follows temperature. In other words, CO2 is not the driver. This is shown by data from ice cores. 4) The Hockey Stick Illusion. A fraudulent graph based on a few tree ring records – hiding the (inconvenient) Mediaeval Warm Period as well as the following Little Ice Age. When Mann’s tree ring proxy started to inconveniently decline (Hide the Decline!) he cut the record and spliced on the rising thermometer data. 5) How Ben Santer single handedly overturned doubts expressed by IPCC reports into certainty. Text stating the human influence cannot be detected was changed into the opposite – this after the scientists signed off the reports.

                    I’ll stop there …

                    PS> I tried to follow an on-course on Climate Change Denial – run by John Cook at an Australian University. I gave up when too many ad hominem attacks followed questions about some of the above issues. You ask a question and get attacked and labelled.

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                    • colonialist says:

                      Thanks for this – it seems rather like a religion. People latch onto something, but then still cling tenaciously to it when is shown to be manifestly absurd.
                      The human all-or-nothing syndrome also comes into it, though. Everything has a balance-point which people tend to ignore – and I believe some aspects and proportion of what the Climate Change doom-and-gloomers are saying is still probably true. Logic tells one, for example, that the sheer volume of gunk being poured into the atmosphere daily must have some effect. The speed of diminishing icecaps seems to be a genuine statistic and is also worrying. It is an inevitable result of a warming process – but at the rate it appears to be happening?
                      The balanced conclusion from all of this would be that there is definite cause for concern, but not for panic.

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                    • vuurklip says:

                      Sure, we do have an effect on climate – but the main drivers of climate are natural cycles (and the mighty Sun) which override us. Thus we have recurring ice ages with wild fluctuations in between – and with declining(!) interglacial warm periods. The current interglacial (in which we live) is cooler that the previous interglacial. And the current interglacial is interpresed with warmer (than today!) warm periods such as the Holocene Optimum, the Roman, the Mediaeval and various others. Humanity thrived during warm periods and suffered plague and famine during colder periods.

                      With all my scepticism I fully agree that we should carefully husband natural resources, combat pollution, care for the environment, etc.

                      Liked by 1 person

  4. elspethc says:

    Reblogged this on My World, Your World, One World and commented:
    If you know anyone who denies or thinks it is not as bad as people (real scientists) make it sound, introduce them to a film called “Merchants of Doubt”. The b$%&^ds even look as if they enjoy themselves while they talk of how they set about their falsehood peddling. It is an eyeopener, will make anyone question the questioners – or stop giving them air time.

    Like

  5. elspethc says:

    If you know anyone who denies or thinks it is not as bad as people (real scientists) make it sound, introduce them to a film called “Merchants of Doubt”. These b$%&^ds even look as if they enjoy themselves while they talk of how they set about their falsehood peddling. It is an eyeopener, will make anyone question the questioners – or stop giving them air time.

    Like

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